Posts Tagged ‘usa’

Thoughts on US Chances with ~3 days to go


2010
06.08

First off, join my World Cup bracket group.

I got the following excerpt from someone that will remain unnamed:

Oh now I understand why you are heading there for the early rounds and not the finals. Sorry to hurt your feelings, but the teams you are supporting aren’t going to get past the first rounds. Except maybe for England – but I don’t expect them to get near the semis.

I second you on the French though. Hate em and want to see them head back asap. Same goes with Brazil – except that I’ll miss their samba chicks on TV.

I’ve been supporting Argentina and Italy since 98. Hoping that Messi will do great this year and I’m also looking forward to seeing Milito repeat his champions league performance (if they let him play). At least he seems to be in the squad.

The following was my response:

Really, you don’t have the US getting out of the group stage?  Who do you think is going to go ahead?  I could see Algeria winning the group or not getting a point.  They are the most inconsistent side I’ve ever seen.

To be clear, I think the US will go out against Germany in the 2nd round, but it’s really a tough call…

The US’ road could be pretty easy *should they win the group*.  They could see a weakened Ghana side in the 2nd round and then potentially Uruguay in the Quarters.  In the semis they’d play Brazil, which they proved last summer they can play with, but ultimately they’ll lose that match I think.  The US proved last summer they can play in the altitude and the cold of South Africa.  Now, I’m not predicting that will happen, but whoever wins Group C might have an easy road to the semis.  Even if the US finishes 2nd in the group, Germany has tons of injury problems and Maradona hasn’t proven himself to be a great manager, so even if the US comes 2nd in the group, they could be looking at semi –finals.

There are three x-factors: 1) how do teams play in the cold (the old MLS players have done that in Chicago, New York and New England in the past) and 2) how do they play at altitude (Salt Lake City and Denver for the former MLS players…which is basically everyone on the US squad). 3) How will being in Africa work for the African nations.  With injuries, the African nations are looking pretty weak at the moment.

England has looked pretty bad in the warmups and the US has looked pretty good.  Now, what to take from friendlies is hard to say but with Buddle and Findley added to the team the US may have found a strike partnership like they’ve never had before.  Gomez has been on fine form as well.  The defense has been shaky, but hopefully they learned some lessons against Turkey.

It’s pretty exciting that there are no teams without questions.  Brazil has no plan B and Spain has injury concerns, despite being the clear favorites.

Please let me know how you feel about this assessment.  I’d love to get some good conversation going in the comments!

World Cup Bracket


2010
03.26

With all the talk about brackets for the NCAA tourney, and seeing this article on dynamic duos, I was inspired to do a World Cup bracket.  There still could be a lot happen.  There could be so crazy Togo-esque shooting or just simple injuries.  I got the layout of the below from Wikipedia, so please respect their Creative Commons license.  I’m not going to do game scores, but I’m leaving the matches here just so people can have that info available here.

Here are some of my thoughts. First, despite in the past home field advantage playing a huge role in the World Cup, with Brazil being the only team to not win on their continent, I really can’t see the African teams doing any better.  South Africa may be the weakest team in the competition.  The big African countries seem also destined to disappoint.  Algeria, Nigeria and Ghana could all get out of their group stage, but I don’t see them going too much further.  Nigeria’s new coach could prove not to be a perfect fit immediately and Algeria is so inconsistent I could also see the finishing last in their group.

It will be cold, but European players are used to playing in the cold European winters.  It may slow down Spain, but Torres plays in England and the rest of the team certainly plays elsewhere in Champions League action.  The European teams are also going to be on their own time zone or close to it.

Group A is the toughest call.  South Africa, though weak, could surprise in the first round.  France has the talent to win it all, but is so dysfunctional you wonder if they will even make it out of the group.  Mexico is probably sending one of their best squads ever, but who knows if they can survive the previous coaching debacle.  Uruguay‘s chance rest on Forlán as far as I’m concerned.  I don’t know if anything short of winning it will save Domenech‘s job and I could see a USA-98-like performance coming from them.  Ultimately, despite their talent, I don’t see them getting out of the group.

Things get tough to call in the semifinals with Germany vs. Spain.  Will Spain show up like they did in the Confed Cup?  If so, the Swiss or Honduras could play spoiler.  You have to like the Swiss and Chile, conditions-wise.  Ultimately, I guess I see the curse of winning off European soil to continue.  Dunga seems to have good control of his team.  It’s hard to argue with the team that wins the top qualification out of South America, the top team in ELO rankings and the second team in FIFA rankings.

Matches

All times are South African Standard Time (UTC+2)

Group stage

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A Day Late, But Not a Dollar Short


2010
02.22

So, game reviews take longer than expected.  I guess that’s why I’m a sports writer and not a game reviewer, eh?  Speaking of ‘eh’, what a game by the US last night! Watching Olympic hockey is what has me not beating myself up about this post being late.

Hockey Notes

People are already talking about the rematch in the Gold Medal game.  Wait? First off, Canada could very well lose to Russia in the quarterfinals.  If Malkin and Ovechkin are on, all it’s going to take is some solid goalkeeping and Russia will be unstoppable.  Football keepers can play for years – see van der Sar or Friedel (among many others) but I wonder if Brodeur is past his prime.  I’ve not been keeping up with The Devils, but one has to think the Olympics is a step up from the NHL season and maybe he’s a little off.  I’m not saying things were Brodeur’s fault – far from it, the Canadians gave up massive amounts of turnovers – but maybe he’s no longer unstoppable.

Random News and Notes

I’ve also been working on getting my gym membership set back up after my move, working on getting more sportazine writers and spending a fair amount of time talking X’s and O’s with my roommate.  Not altogether a lazy week!  On the sportazine front, it looks like we are going to have an NFL blogger starting a monthly post in March.  So excited!

I passed out of casual observer phase to true fan this past week by picking up my first Manchester United gear.  I suppose the walk from my office to the building where the dock is was the liminal journey.  Fittingly, the hallway is called ‘The Chunnel‘.

Ideas for columns? Let me know! Right now, it’s looking like the next one will be some form of coaching/playing tips for indoor soccer, probably with some notes on the differences between the two sports, with some coverage also of beach soccer, Homeless World Cup and futsal.  As always, open to suggestions!

Why FIFA 2010 Review?

I was supposed to write a review of FIFA 2010 this week…apparently I spent too much time playing and not enough time writing. ;)   One of the sections I did finish was why I thought it was a good idea, so I’ll go ahead and post that.  When I finish the review, I’ll either rehash the reasoning or link back to it.

One might ask what a game review *really* has to do with sports, since you sit on a couch and aren’t following real athletes.  There are plenty of studies that suggest that gaming can teach and/or hone skills.  There is a reason the US Military funds video gaming.  When I coached for Triangle FC, I suggested the boys play FIFA so that they could learn terminology (through ball, pitch, etc), to build interest in the sport and to better think the game (when is a good time to play a through ball, etc).  My roommate likes to talk about being a couple passes ahead in the game.  That’s exactly what playing a game can help you do.  As to the players, had I subscribed to Fox Soccer Channel or GolTV at the time, and realized the coverage of the sport on TV, I probably would have suggested they watch the pros, but things have come a ways since then with ESPN now covering EPL games in HD.  Of course, at the time, Fox Soccer Channel wasn’t named that, but that’s another post.  Also likely another post – active vs. passive learning. That’s what’s going on in watching versus playing.

There are two points I want to make clear:

  1. For coaches, you’ve got to meet players on their level. Especially for older coaches, video games may seem like the most unathletic thing imaginable, but kids love video games.  If you’re teaching kids that the way to become a better football player (or any sport) is to run a ridiculous amount of wind sprints, you’re doing it wrong.  Just think of a video game as an extension of the ‘game tape’.
  2. For players, study the game. Even if your coach thinks winning a state championship is solely based on hustle and outrunning the opposing team (I’ve had coaches where ‘hustle’ was something akin to ‘the’), don’t be fooled.  Watch the game.  Study opposing players if you get a chance.  Do all of this without being a jackass to your coach, even if s/he is an idiot.  No amount of one-upsmanship is going to keep you from riding the pine or being sent back home to play video games.

And, just to be clear to both sides, you need to run wind sprints too.


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